Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 8.381508 9.366234 10.479115 11.842633 13.485904 15.425877 17.925460
2024-12-29 7.058136 8.378590 10.017747 12.254936 15.318586 19.515967 25.999731
2025-01-05 6.016720 7.391386 9.193727 11.822417 15.736397 21.693685 32.294173
2025-01-12 5.268296 6.626026 8.475408 11.305276 15.793570 23.223398 38.161862
2025-01-19 4.753438 6.093369 7.976493 10.976768 16.004666 24.991105 45.359497
2025-01-26 4.423384 5.772273 7.725000 10.960549 16.690245 27.788515 56.591829
2025-02-02 4.360924 5.820875 8.016364 11.847335 19.164350 35.090781 86.479715
2025-02-09 4.226750 5.744175 8.097193 12.383085 21.121552 42.299666 128.167942
2025-02-16 4.014674 5.525775 7.920899 12.422353 22.064077 47.522169 174.452775
2025-02-23 3.895225 5.439511 7.949628 12.843700 23.970258 56.751194 278.843213
2025-03-02 3.637632 5.111642 7.533907 12.333971 23.545519 58.339629 336.927144
2025-03-09 3.462614 4.905410 7.310554 12.180030 23.974637 63.330449 473.474147
2025-03-16 3.278909 4.689136 7.079564 12.043616 24.607987 70.570792 788.304638
2025-03-23 3.183427 4.615682 7.103882 12.471510 27.015604 89.004058 2674.884207
2025-03-30 2.987158 4.356107 6.759079 12.028003 26.739366 94.103020 6008.462478
2025-04-06 2.799793 4.099623 6.398196 11.497662 26.051326 96.413123 14697.518154
2025-04-13 2.652650 3.903650 6.136019 11.160912 25.901104 102.375159 186559.017580
2025-04-20 2.555013 3.787674 6.016911 11.144289 26.826191 117.919936 NaN
2025-04-27 2.562169 3.856056 6.261761 12.053579 31.468691 180.296741 NaN
2025-05-04 2.528808 3.848810 6.354685 12.603334 35.157421 259.585595 NaN
2025-05-11 2.451040 3.755071 6.261221 12.643640 36.762888 325.236937 NaN
2025-05-18 2.411442 3.729244 6.306914 13.076227 40.489264 491.664928 NaN
2025-05-25 2.297797 3.558408 6.030643 12.552923 39.246178 503.076307 NaN